A Grand Experiment

We have finally gotten to the place of implementing perhaps the largest experiment upon humanity of all time – vaccinating billions of people with an unknown and largely untested vaccine that was created using a brand new “state-of-art” approach. I call it an “experiment” because that is exactly what it is, a test to check and see if a theory is correct. The vaccines in question where created with the express intent of preventing symptoms developing from an infection. That is what has been tested, and that is what is meant by “effectiveness”. It means you can be exposed and not develop life threatening symptoms. That is a good goal for individuals, not doesn’t do much for humanity as a whole. Humanity is concerned about preventing infection (not just having symptoms), and it is even more concerned about preventing transmission. There is a largely unspoken theory in the science community that it will not only prevent symptoms, but will also prevent transmission. However, that is the untested theory. There hasn’t yet been sufficient time or resources to adequately test that theory in humans. Some tests have been performed indicating that it prevents transmission in other types of animals (such as monkeys), which lends support to the theory, but it is still unknown if it will be effective in humans. However, we are embarking upon a grand experiment that will test the theory that it is safe, prevents symptoms and prevents transmission. I hope all of these turn out to be correct.

A really interesting part of this story is how we got to this point. A year ago, in December of 2019, the pandemic was known and discussed in the news, in newspapers and among the scientists that keep track of such things. However, it was mostly in China which is so far, far away from our comfortable homes in the USA. At that point in time they (scientists and heath care professionals) knew almost everything about covid-19 that we do now. They knew the infection rates, knew the mortality, knew how it was spread and other things. What they didn’t know yet because there wasn’t time to know about it was that it also causes severe, permanent damage to a wide variety of body parts – you generally don’t “just get over it” like in the case of “normal” flu.

It took about 3 months (until the first of March) to convince regulators in the USA and other countries that the science was correct and this thing was going to become a really, really big deal. However, an interesting thing happened (and continues to happen) in the general population. Many, perhaps most, citizens took the position that “science” is a field that looks backwards to document what has happened, rather than a approach that looks backward to gather information to predict the future (looks at what has been in order to formulate a theory so that the theory can be tested in the hopes that it can then be used to predict future outcomes). What people did instead was look backward and say things like, “There have only been 20 deaths in the USA, obviously it isn’t dangerous.” That is still the gist of what is being discussed when people say, “We did all of these terrible and expensive things to prevent the spread of the disease and we still have about as many cases as … (some place where it hasn’t gotten to yet).” It is as if the fact that since all of those things to prevent the spread worked means that they weren’t necessary because not that much happened. By the way, this is the exact same approach being taken by many people concerning global warming – “it hasn’t been all that bad in the past so it won’t be a problem in the future.”

All of those “super spreader” events are happening because people are looking back as history where there is a relatively small and tolerable infection rate, using that “data” to bolster their theory that it isn’t dangerous and the whole thing is a conspiracy by the government to make a few people very rich and to gain control over our personal freedoms. They are doing science too – creating a theory, and then doing experiments to test it out. These are extremely dangerous, uncontrolled, experiments for themselves and humanity, but experiments nevertheless.

Now it is becoming a little bit clearer that perhaps the scientists had more accurate theories about how it spreads and how dangerous it is and everyone is in a panic wanting “science” to solve the problem. Originally science provided information sufficient to solve the problem quickly, safely, and inexpensively. All we had to do was follow their recommendations to quarantine, wear masks, wash hands, test regularly and wait for 4 to 6 weeks – and it would have been a thing of the past. That approach would still work, but now instead of doing that in isolated pockets it would have to be done everywhere because it has spread to everywhere. It still would work, but the “anti-science”, “anti-vaccinate”, “freedom loving” group won’t comply with those recommendations, therefore they are forcing governments to do exactly what they fear the governments will do – get tough and do what they can to get as many people vaccinated with an unproven vaccine as they can.

Those people that are refusing to wear masks, refusing to follow recommendations, refusing to take simple precautions are in fact the ones that are causing their own self-fulling prophesy. It could be quick, easy, safe, relatively inexpensive – but for the uproar from those that seem to demand another approach that has resulted in millions of deaths, unknown number of permanently disabled people that have “recovered”, the collapse of global economies and the world wide use of an unproven, new vaccine. Good going folks – you have really changed the world (for the worst) and killed hundreds of thousands of people in the process!

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